{ "race_id": "pres-2028-vance-newsom", "title": "2028 Presidential Election Polls: Vance vs. Newsom", "as_of": "2026-10-28", "method": "https://electionsusa.org/methodology/", "average": { "JD Vance": 45.1, "Gavin Newsom": 38.3 }, "margin": 6.8, "n_polls_weighted": 3, "n_polls_total": 3, "trend": { "JD Vance": [ [ "2025-09-23", 44.4 ], [ "2025-09-26", 44.4 ], [ "2025-09-29", 44.4 ], [ "2025-10-02", 44.4 ], [ "2025-10-05", 44.4 ], [ "2025-10-08", 44.4 ], [ "2025-10-11", 44.4 ], [ "2025-10-14", 45.5 ], [ "2025-10-17", 45.5 ], [ "2025-10-20", 45.5 ], [ "2025-10-23", 45.5 ], [ "2025-10-26", 45.5 ], [ "2025-10-29", 45.5 ], [ "2025-11-01", 45.5 ], [ "2025-11-04", 45.5 ], [ "2025-11-07", 45.5 ], [ "2025-11-10", 45.5 ], [ "2025-11-13", 45.5 ], [ "2025-11-16", 45.5 ], [ "2025-11-19", 45.5 ], [ "2025-11-22", 45.5 ], [ "2025-11-25", 45.5 ], [ "2025-11-28", 45.5 ], [ "2025-12-01", 45.5 ], [ "2025-12-04", 45.5 ], [ "2025-12-07", 45.5 ], [ "2025-12-10", 45.5 ], [ "2025-12-13", 45.5 ], [ 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"Vance +7.0", "source_url": "https://gazette.com/?p=1021755", "notes": "" }, { "pollster": "Emerson College", "sponsor": "", "dates": "Oct 13\u201314, 2025", "end_date": "2025-10-14", "sample": "1,000 RV", "grade": "A-", "weight": 2.2, "vals": { "JD Vance": 46.0, "Gavin Newsom": 45.0 }, "margin": 1.0, "margin_label": "Vance +1.0", "source_url": "https://www.270towin.com/2028-presidential-election-polls/national", "notes": "" }, { "pollster": "Emerson College", "sponsor": "", "dates": "Aug 25\u201326, 2025", "end_date": "2025-08-26", "sample": "1,000 RV", "grade": "A-", "weight": 1.0, "vals": { "JD Vance": 44.4, "Gavin Newsom": 43.5 }, "margin": 0.8999999999999986, "margin_label": "Vance +0.9", "source_url": "https://newsweek.com/gavin-newsom-gains-ground-jd-vance-2028-presidential-race-poll-10895389", "notes": "" } ] }