Polling average · updated October 28, 2026
2026 Generic Congressional Ballot
Polling average of the national generic congressional ballot ahead of the November 3, 2026 midterm elections.
Weighted average of 2 polls (of 3 on record), as of October 28, 2026. Half-life 14 days. Method · JSON
Trend
Dots are polls; the line is the average as computed on each dateAll polls (3)
CSV →| Pollster | Dates | Sample | 538 grade | Democrats | Republicans | Margin | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reuters/Ipsos | Oct 16–19, 2026 | 1,279 RV | B- | 47% | 35% | Democrats +12.0 | 76.8% |
| Pew Research Centerⓘ | Sep 28 – Oct 4, 2026 | RV | B/C | 44% | 36% | Democrats +8.0 | 23.2% |
| Rasmussen Reportsⓘ | Jan 26–29, 2026 | LV | B | 47% | 41% | Democrats +6.0 | <0.1% |
Rows marked ⓘ carry a note (for example, fieldwork dates inferred from press coverage). Weight is the poll's share of the current average after recency, sample-size, pollster-quality and frequency adjustments.
About this average
The generic ballot asks which party's candidate for Congress a respondent would support. It is a national number and does not map directly onto seats: because of district geography a party usually needs a national lead of a few points to be favoured to win the House.
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