Updated November 2, 2026 · 736 days to Election Day
How is 2028 looking?
Polling averages, pollster accuracy and prediction-market odds for the next presidential election. Ask a question or pick one below.
Where 2028 starts: the 2024 map
Results by state →All 50 states and DC
- Alabama
- Alaska
- Arizona
- Arkansas
- California
- Colorado
- Connecticut
- Delaware
- District of Columbia
- Florida
- Georgia
- Hawaii
- Idaho
- Illinois
- Indiana
- Iowa
- Kansas
- Kentucky
- Louisiana
- Maine
- Maryland
- Massachusetts
- Michigan
- Minnesota
- Mississippi
- Missouri
- Montana
- Nebraska
- Nevada
- New Hampshire
- New Jersey
- New Mexico
- New York
- North Carolina
- North Dakota
- Ohio
- Oklahoma
- Oregon
- Pennsylvania
- Rhode Island
- South Carolina
- South Dakota
- Tennessee
- Texas
- Utah
- Vermont
- Virginia
- Washington
- West Virginia
- Wisconsin
- Wyoming
Trump approval
Disapprove +24.1
Trump Approval Rating Tracker →Vance vs. Newsom
Newsom +3.2
Vance vs. Newsom →Dem primary
GOP primary
Generic ballot
Democrats +8.2
2026 Generic Congressional Ballot →Free. Open data. Every number linked to the pollster that published it.
Latest polls
All data →- Democrats 53.5% · Republicans 46.5%
- Democrats 50% · Republicans 44%
- Approve 36% · Disapprove 61%
- Approve 43% · Disapprove 55%
- Democrats 47% · Republicans 36%
- Democrats 52% · Republicans 40%
- Democrats 52% · Republicans 42%
- Harris 34% · Newsom 20% · Ocasio-Cortez 11%
- Approve 32% · Disapprove 66%
- Democrats 50% · Republicans 41%
- Democrats 52% · Republicans 44%
- Democrats 46% · Republicans 40%
Most accurate pollsters
Full scorecard →Mean error on the final margin, 2016–2022, shrunk toward the field average so a hot streak over ten polls doesn't outrank 300 polls of steady work.
| Pollster | Polls | Avg error | Bias |
|---|---|---|---|
| Data Orbital | 16 | 2.6 | D+0.5 |
| The New York Times/Siena College | 95 | 4.0 | D+1.2 |
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 45 | 3.8 | D+0.7 |
| Cygnal | 38 | 3.7 | D+2.3 |
| Echelon Insights | 10 | 2.2 | R+0.7 |
| Research Co. | 58 | 4.0 | D+1.0 |
| Landmark Communications | 22 | 3.5 | D+1.2 |
| ABC News/The Washington Post | 16 | 3.2 | D+2.8 |
Markets
Polls vs. markets →2028 Presidential Election Winner · snapshot Nov 2, 2026 · Press snapshot.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|
| JD Vance | 18% | 19% |
| Gavin Newsom | 12% | 18% |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 12% | — |
| Jon Ossoff | 10% | — |
| Marco Rubio | 10% | — |
What this is
ElectionsUSA tracks public opinion ahead of the November 7, 2028 United States presidential election. It averages polls with a published, reproducible method; it keeps score of how close each pollster's final polls came to actual results; and it puts prediction-market prices next to the polls so readers can see when traders and survey respondents disagree.
The site is independent, carries no campaign, party or government affiliation, and is funded by advertising. The complete dataset is downloadable and every figure links back to the pollster that published it.