ElectionsUSA

Pollster scorecard · ranked 39 of 69

How accurate is YouGov?

YouGov's 151 polls in the final three weeks of 2016–2022 races missed the final margin by 5.5 points on average, ranking 39th of 69 pollsters on the ElectionsUSA scorecard. On average its polls leaned 3.3 points toward Democrats, and 79% had the eventual winner ahead.

Average error
5.5
points on the final margin; all pollsters 5.8
Adjusted error
5.52
39th of 69 on the scorecard
Partisan bias
D+3.3
average signed miss
Right call
79%
of polls had the winner ahead
Rated polls
151
final three weeks, 2016–2022
538 grade
B+
final (2023)

Main survey method in the rated polls: Online.

By election year

YearPollsAvg errorBiasRight call
2016716.2D+3.175%
201717.7R+7.70%
2018132.6R+1.388%
2020485.8D+5.382%
2022184.1D+2.881%

By race

RacePollsAvg errorBiasRight call
Presidential primary448.0n/a83%
President434.5D+3.977%
Senate264.3D+2.577%
House234.9D+4.172%
Governor154.0D+1.387%

YouGov polls on ElectionsUSA (178)

CSV →
RaceDatesSampleResultMargin
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Oct 23–26, 20261,430 RV Democrats 46% · Republicans 40%Democrats +6.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Oct 23–26, 20261,263 LV Democrats 50% · Republicans 41%Democrats +9.0
Trump approval · The Economist ↗ Oct 23–26, 20261,131 LV Approve 41% · Disapprove 58%Disapprove +17.0
Generic ballot · CBS ↗ Oct 21–23, 20261,749 LV Democrats 53% · Republicans 45%Democrats +8.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Oct 19–20, 20261,312 LV Democrats 50% · Republicans 43%Democrats +7.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Oct 19–20, 20261,496 RV Democrats 45% · Republicans 40%Democrats +5.0
Vance vs. Ocasio-Cortez · The Bulwark / Pablo Torre Finds Out ↗ Oct 10–14, 20261,417 A Vance 38% · Ocasio-Cortez 40%Ocasio-Cortez +2.0
Vance vs. Newsom · The Bulwark / Pablo Torre Finds Out ↗ Oct 10–14, 20261,417 A Vance 36% · Newsom 41%Newsom +5.0
Vance vs. Buttigieg · The Bulwark / Pablo Torre Finds Out ↗ Oct 10–14, 20261,417 A Vance 36% · Buttigieg 38%Buttigieg +2.0
Trump approval · The Economist ↗ Oct 10–13, 2026A Approve 34% · Disapprove 61%Disapprove +27.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Oct 10–12, 20261,403 RV Democrats 46% · Republicans 39%Democrats +7.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Oct 2–5, 20261,173 LV Democrats 51% · Republicans 40%Democrats +11.0
Generic ballot · CBS News ↗ Sep 30 – Oct 2, 20261,572 LV Democrats 54% · Republicans 45%Democrats +9.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Sep 25–28, 20261,423 RV Democrats 45% · Republicans 37%Democrats +8.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Sep 25–28, 20261,003 LV Democrats 53% · Republicans 38%Democrats +15.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Sep 18–21, 2026975 LV Democrats 52% · Republicans 38%Democrats +14.0
Trump approval · The Economist ↗ Sep 18–21, 20261,401 RV Approve 35% · Disapprove 62%Disapprove +27.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Sep 18–21, 20261,394 RV Democrats 45% · Republicans 36%Democrats +9.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Sep 11–14, 20261,051 LV Democrats 51% · Republicans 39%Democrats +12.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Sep 11–14, 20261,455 RV Democrats 44% · Republicans 39%Democrats +5.0
Generic ballot · CBS News ↗ Sep 8–11, 20261,750 LV Democrats 54% · Republicans 46%Democrats +8.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Sep 4–8, 20261,464 RV Democrats 42% · Republicans 35%Democrats +7.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Sep 4–8, 20261,015 LV Democrats 49% · Republicans 38%Democrats +11.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Aug 14–17, 20261,610 A Democrats 39% · Republicans 32%Democrats +7.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Aug 14–17, 20261,449 RV Democrats 46% · Republicans 39%Democrats +7.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Aug 7–10, 20261,558 A Democrats 40% · Republicans 32%Democrats +8.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Aug 7–10, 20261,419 RV Democrats 46% · Republicans 40%Democrats +6.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Jul 31 – Aug 3, 20261,472 RV Democrats 46% · Republicans 42%Democrats +4.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Jul 31 – Aug 3, 20261,607 A Democrats 41% · Republicans 33%Democrats +8.0
Trump approval · The Economist ↗ Jul 25–27, 20261,407 RV Approve 34% · Disapprove 62%Disapprove +28.0
Generic ballot · CBS News ↗ Jul 22–24, 20261,474 RV Democrats 47% · Republicans 40%Democrats +7.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Jul 17–20, 20261,432 RV Democrats 46% · Republicans 41%Democrats +5.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Jul 17–20, 20261,602 A Democrats 39% · Republicans 33%Democrats +6.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Jul 10–13, 20261,447 RV Democrats 46% · Republicans 42%Democrats +4.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Jul 10–13, 20261,612 A Democrats 39% · Republicans 35%Democrats +4.0
Dem primary ↗ Jul 8–10, 2026485 A Harris 17% · Newsom 13% · Ocasio-Cortez 10%
GOP primary ↗ Jul 8–10, 2026369 A Vance 32% · Rubio 19% · Jr. 11%
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Jun 26–29, 20261,603 A Democrats 37% · Republicans 35%Democrats +2.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Jun 26–29, 20261,426 RV Democrats 45% · Republicans 42%Democrats +3.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Jun 19–22, 20261,517 RV Democrats 45% · Republicans 43%Democrats +2.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Jun 19–22, 20261,679 A Democrats 38% · Republicans 35%Democrats +3.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Jun 13–15, 20261,547 A Democrats 39% · Republicans 36%Democrats +3.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Jun 13–15, 20261,402 RV Democrats 46% · Republicans 44%Democrats +2.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Jun 5–8, 20261,393 RV Democrats 45% · Republicans 41%Democrats +4.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Jun 5–8, 20261,567 A Democrats 37% · Republicans 33%Democrats +4.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ May 29 – Jun 1, 20261,603 A Democrats 41% · Republicans 35%Democrats +6.0
Trump approval · The Economist ↗ May 29 – Jun 1, 20261,453 RV Approve 35% · Disapprove 61%Disapprove +26.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ May 29 – Jun 1, 20261,452 RV Democrats 46% · Republicans 42%Democrats +4.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ May 22–26, 20261,393 RV Democrats 46% · Republicans 41%Democrats +5.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ May 22–26, 20261,514 A Democrats 39% · Republicans 33%Democrats +6.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ May 15–18, 20261,375 RV Democrats 46% · Republicans 43%Democrats +3.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ May 15–18, 20261,543 A Democrats 40% · Republicans 35%Democrats +5.0
Generic ballot · CBS News ↗ May 13–15, 20261,397 RV Democrats 45% · Republicans 40%Democrats +5.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ May 9–11, 20261,406 RV Democrats 45% · Republicans 40%Democrats +5.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ May 9–11, 20261,547 A Democrats 37% · Republicans 34%Democrats +3.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ May 1–4, 20261,406 RV Democrats 44% · Republicans 41%Democrats +3.0
Trump approval · The Economist ↗ May 1–4, 20261,409 RV Approve 36% · Disapprove 58%Disapprove +22.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ May 1–4, 20261,703 A Democrats 38% · Republicans 34%Democrats +4.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Apr 24–27, 20261,834 A Democrats 39% · Republicans 34%Democrats +5.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Apr 24–27, 20261,645 RV Democrats 46% · Republicans 41%Democrats +5.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Apr 17–20, 20261,549 RV Democrats 45% · Republicans 40%Democrats +5.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Apr 17–20, 20261,703 A Democrats 39% · Republicans 33%Democrats +6.0
GOP primary ↗ Apr 8–13, 2026968 RV Vance 36% · Rubio 15% · Jr. 13%
Dem primary ↗ Apr 8–13, 2026968 RV Harris 24% · Newsom 12% · Buttigieg 9%
Dem primary · The Economist ↗ Apr 10–13, 2026A Harris 29% · Buttigieg 9% · Newsom 8%
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Apr 3–6, 20261,745 A Democrats 38% · Republicans 36%Democrats +2.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Apr 3–6, 20261,558 RV Democrats 44% · Republicans 42%Democrats +2.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Mar 20–23, 20261,501 RV Democrats 45% · Republicans 42%Democrats +3.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Mar 20–23, 20261,664 A Democrats 39% · Republicans 36%Democrats +3.0
Generic ballot · Yahoo News ↗ Mar 12–16, 20261,147 RV Democrats 44% · Republicans 40%Democrats +4.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Mar 13–16, 20261,427 RV Democrats 43% · Republicans 41%Democrats +2.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Mar 13–16, 20261,593 A Democrats 39% · Republicans 35%Democrats +4.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Mar 6–9, 20261,561 A Democrats 40% · Republicans 36%Democrats +4.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Mar 6–9, 20261,403 RV Democrats 45% · Republicans 42%Democrats +3.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Feb 27 – Mar 2, 20261,512 A Democrats 40% · Republicans 33%Democrats +7.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Feb 27 – Mar 2, 20261,363 RV Democrats 45% · Republicans 41%Democrats +4.0
Generic ballot · CBS News ↗ Feb 25–27, 20261,523 RV Democrats 45% · Republicans 40%Democrats +5.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Feb 20–23, 20261,402 RV Democrats 45% · Republicans 41%Democrats +4.0
Trump approval · The Economist ↗ Feb 20–23, 20261,402 RV Approve 39% · Disapprove 57%Disapprove +18.0
Dem primary · BGSU ↗ Feb 13–18, 2026556 RV Newsom 21% · Harris 18% · Buttigieg 11%
GOP primary · BGSU ↗ Feb 13–18, 2026463 RV Vance 51% · Rubio 15% · DeSantis 9%
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Feb 13–16, 20261,509 RV Democrats 47% · Republicans 40%Democrats +7.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Feb 13–16, 20261,678 A Democrats 39% · Republicans 33%Democrats +6.0
Dem primary · Yahoo ↗ Feb 9–12, 20261,704 RV Newsom 19% · Harris 18% · Buttigieg 13%
Generic ballot · Yahoo News ↗ Feb 9–12, 20261,149 RV Democrats 44% · Republicans 41%Democrats +3.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Feb 6–9, 20261,549 RV Democrats 44% · Republicans 38%Democrats +6.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Feb 6–9, 20261,728 A Democrats 39% · Republicans 31%Democrats +8.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Jan 30 – Feb 2, 20261,501 RV Democrats 44% · Republicans 40%Democrats +4.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Jan 30 – Feb 2, 20261,668 A Democrats 36% · Republicans 34%Democrats +2.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Jan 23–26, 20261,519 RV Democrats 43% · Republicans 38%Democrats +5.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Jan 23–26, 20261,683 A Democrats 38% · Republicans 35%Democrats +3.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Jan 16–19, 20261,547 A Democrats 39% · Republicans 34%Democrats +5.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Jan 16–19, 20261,717 RV Democrats 43% · Republicans 39%Democrats +4.0
Trump approval · The Economist ↗ Jan 12–14, 20261,425 RV Approve 47% · Disapprove 36%Approve +11.0
Dem primary ↗ Jan 9–14, 20262,250 LV Harris 20% · Newsom 17% · Ocasio-Cortez 9%
GOP primary ↗ Jan 9–14, 20262,250 A Vance 41% · Jr. 11% · DeSantis 8%
Generic ballot · Yahoo News ↗ Jan 8–12, 20261,148 RV Democrats 45% · Republicans 40%Democrats +5.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Jan 9–12, 20261,597 A Democrats 39% · Republicans 33%Democrats +6.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Jan 9–12, 20261,433 RV Democrats 44% · Republicans 40%Democrats +4.0
Trump approval · The Economist ↗ Jan 5–8, 20261,520 RV Approve 51% · Disapprove 39%Approve +12.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Jan 2–5, 20261,547 A Democrats 39% · Republicans 32%Democrats +7.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Jan 2–5, 20261,386 RV Democrats 45% · Republicans 39%Democrats +6.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Dec 26–29, 20251,417 RV Democrats 42% · Republicans 38%Democrats +4.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Dec 26–29, 20251,546 A Democrats 36% · Republicans 31%Democrats +5.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Dec 20–22, 20251,591 A Democrats 38% · Republicans 34%Democrats +4.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Dec 20–22, 20251,424 RV Democrats 43% · Republicans 40%Democrats +3.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Dec 12–15, 20251,630 A Democrats 37% · Republicans 33%Democrats +4.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Dec 12–15, 20251,451 RV Democrats 43% · Republicans 39%Democrats +4.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Dec 5–8, 20251,379 RV Democrats 42% · Republicans 37%Democrats +5.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Dec 5–8, 20251,529 A Democrats 37% · Republicans 32%Democrats +5.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Nov 28 – Dec 1, 20251,623 A Democrats 39% · Republicans 33%Democrats +6.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Nov 28 – Dec 1, 20251,452 RV Democrats 45% · Republicans 39%Democrats +6.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Nov 21–24, 20251,511 RV Democrats 39% · Republicans 32%Democrats +7.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Nov 21–24, 20251,674 A Democrats 44% · Republicans 39%Democrats +5.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Nov 15–17, 20251,380 RV Democrats 43% · Republicans 40%Democrats +3.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Nov 7–10, 20251,499 RV Democrats 46% · Republicans 39%Democrats +7.0
Dem primary ↗ Nov 6–9, 20252,172 A Harris 21% · Newsom 19% · Buttigieg 10%
GOP primary ↗ Nov 6–9, 20252,172 A Vance 42% · Jr. 13% · DeSantis 7%
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Oct 31 – Nov 3, 20251,470 RV Democrats 44% · Republicans 41%Democrats +3.0
Generic ballot · Yahoo News ↗ Oct 23–27, 20251,197 RV Democrats 45% · Republicans 40%Democrats +5.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Oct 24–27, 20251,472 RV Democrats 43% · Republicans 40%Democrats +3.0
Vance vs. Ocasio-Cortez ↗ Oct 16–20, 20251,000 A Vance 34% · Ocasio-Cortez 34%Tie
Vance vs. Newsom ↗ Oct 16–20, 20251,000 A Vance 32% · Newsom 36%Newsom +4.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Oct 17–20, 20251,447 RV Democrats 45% · Republicans 40%Democrats +5.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Oct 10–13, 20251,466 RV Democrats 43% · Republicans 40%Democrats +3.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Oct 4–6, 20251,486 RV Democrats 44% · Republicans 39%Democrats +5.0
Generic ballot · Yahoo News ↗ Sep 25–29, 20251,126 RV Democrats 44% · Republicans 40%Democrats +4.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Sep 26–29, 20251,517 RV Democrats 44% · Republicans 41%Democrats +3.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Sep 19–22, 20251,392 RV Democrats 45% · Republicans 42%Democrats +3.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Sep 12–15, 20251,418 RV Democrats 43% · Republicans 41%Democrats +2.0
Dem primary ↗ Sep 5–8, 20251,114 A Newsom 23% · Harris 19% · Ocasio-Cortez 8%
GOP primary ↗ Sep 5–8, 20251,114 A Vance 44% · Jr. 10% · DeSantis 8%
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Sep 5–8, 20251,482 RV Democrats 44% · Republicans 40%Democrats +4.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Aug 29 – Sep 2, 20251,548 RV Democrats 43% · Republicans 39%Democrats +4.0
Dem primary · Yahoo ↗ Aug 29 – Sep 2, 20251,690 A Newsom 21% · Harris 19% · Ocasio-Cortez 12%
Vance vs. Newsom · Yahoo ↗ Aug 29 – Sep 2, 20251,690 A Vance 41% · Newsom 49%Newsom +8.0
Generic ballot · Yahoo News ↗ Aug 29 – Sep 2, 20251,136 RV Democrats 44% · Republicans 40%Democrats +4.0
Dem primary · Yahoo News ↗ Aug 29 – Sep 2, 20251,690 A Newsom 21% · Harris 19% · Ocasio-Cortez 12%
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Aug 22–25, 20251,374 RV Democrats 43% · Republicans 41%Democrats +2.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Aug 15–18, 20251,404 RV Democrats 44% · Republicans 39%Democrats +5.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Aug 9–11, 20251,473 RV Democrats 42% · Republicans 40%Democrats +2.0
Generic ballot · The Economist ↗ Aug 1–4, 20251,528 RV Democrats 44% · Republicans 38%Democrats +6.0
Generic ballot · Yahoo News ↗ Jul 24–28, 20251,167 RV Democrats 46% · Republicans 39%Democrats +7.0
Trump approval · The Economist ↗ Jul 4–7, 20251,389 RV Approve 43% · Disapprove 54%Disapprove +11.0
Trump approval · The Economist ↗ Jun 27–30, 20251,491 RV Approve 45% · Disapprove 53%Disapprove +8.0
Trump approval · The Economist ↗ Jun 20–23, 20251,455 RV Approve 43% · Disapprove 54%Disapprove +11.0
Trump approval · The Economist ↗ Jun 13–16, 20251,351 RV Approve 44% · Disapprove 53%Disapprove +9.0
Trump approval · The Economist ↗ Jun 6–9, 20251,397 RV Approve 45% · Disapprove 53%Disapprove +8.0
Trump approval · The Economist ↗ May 30 – Jun 2, 20251,436 RV Approve 46% · Disapprove 51%Disapprove +5.0
Trump approval · The Economist ↗ May 16–19, 20251,710 A Approve 43% · Disapprove 51%Disapprove +8.0
Trump approval ↗ May 14–16, 20251,118 A Approve 44% · Disapprove 48%Disapprove +4.0
Trump approval · The Economist ↗ May 9–12, 20251,786 A Approve 43% · Disapprove 52%Disapprove +9.0
Trump approval ↗ May 6–8, 20251,143 A Approve 42% · Disapprove 50%Disapprove +8.0
Trump approval · The Economist ↗ May 2–5, 20251,850 A Approve 42% · Disapprove 52%Disapprove +10.0
Trump approval · The Economist ↗ May 2–5, 20251,693 RV Approve 44% · Disapprove 52%Disapprove +8.0
Trump approval · The Economist ↗ Apr 25–28, 20251,626 RV Approve 43% · Disapprove 54%Disapprove +11.0
Trump approval · Yahoo! News ↗ Apr 25–28, 20251,597 A Approve 42% · Disapprove 53%Disapprove +11.0
Trump approval · CBS ↗ Apr 23–25, 20252,365 A Approve 45% · Disapprove 55%Disapprove +10.0
Dem primary · The Times ↗ Apr 21–23, 20251,296 A Harris 28% · Buttigieg 9% · Newsom 7%
GOP primary · The Times ↗ Apr 21–23, 20251,296 A Vance 31% · DeSantis 6% · Jr. 5%
Trump approval · The Economist ↗ Apr 13–15, 20251,512 A Approve 42% · Disapprove 52%Disapprove +10.0
Trump approval · CBS News ↗ Apr 8–11, 20252,410 A Approve 47% · Disapprove 53%Disapprove +6.0
Trump approval ↗ Apr 7–10, 20251,151 A Approve 41% · Disapprove 54%Disapprove +13.0
Trump approval · The Economist ↗ Apr 5–8, 20251,563 RV Approve 45% · Disapprove 52%Disapprove +7.0
Dem primary · Economist ↗ Mar 30 – Apr 1, 2025650 RV Harris 25% · Buttigieg 10% · Ocasio-Cortez 8%
GOP primary · Economist ↗ Mar 30 – Apr 1, 2025594 RV Vance 43% · Jr. 11% · DeSantis 8%
Trump approval · CBS ↗ Mar 27–28, 20252,609 A Approve 50% · Disapprove 50%Tie
Trump approval · The Economist ↗ Mar 22–25, 20251,440 RV Approve 48% · Disapprove 50%Disapprove +2.0
Trump approval · Yahoo News ↗ Mar 20–24, 20251,677 A Approve 44% · Disapprove 50%Disapprove +6.0
Trump approval · The Economist ↗ Mar 16–18, 20251,458 RV Approve 47% · Disapprove 50%Disapprove +3.0
Trump approval · The Economist ↗ Mar 9–11, 20251,699 A Approve 47% · Disapprove 47%Tie
Trump approval · CBS News ↗ Feb 26–28, 20252,311 A Approve 51% · Disapprove 49%Approve +2.0
Trump approval · The Economist ↗ Feb 23–25, 20251,444 RV Approve 48% · Disapprove 47%Approve +1.0
Trump approval · The Economist ↗ Feb 16–18, 20251,451 RV Approve 50% · Disapprove 47%Approve +3.0
Trump approval · The Economist ↗ Feb 9–11, 20251,430 RV Approve 47% · Disapprove 49%Disapprove +2.0
Trump approval · CBS ↗ Feb 5–7, 20252,175 A Approve 53% · Disapprove 47%Approve +6.0
Trump approval · The Economist ↗ Feb 2–4, 20251,423 RV Approve 48% · Disapprove 47%Approve +1.0
Trump approval · The Economist ↗ Jan 26–28, 20251,376 RV Approve 50% · Disapprove 46%Approve +4.0

Every poll ElectionsUSA has recorded for the approval, generic-ballot and 2028 averages, newest first. Names after a race are the media sponsor or co-pollster; ↗ opens the source.

How these numbers work

Accuracy covers polls taken in the final three weeks of races from 2016 to 2022, from FiveThirtyEight's open archive of polls matched to certified results (CC BY 4.0). Average error is the mean absolute difference between the poll's margin and the actual margin. The adjusted error shrinks it toward the field average (k = 15 polls) so a short hot streak can't outrank a long record, and the ranking uses it. Bias is the average signed miss: D+ means the polls were more favourable to Democrats than the result, R+ more favourable to Republicans.

Polls are listed under the firm that conducted them, even when the source names a media partner first (for example "The Economist/YouGov" or "CNN/SSRS"). Full method on the scorecard and methodology pages. Something wrong? Report it through the corrections page.