ElectionsUSA

Pollster scorecard · ranked 5 of 69

How accurate is Echelon Insights?

Echelon Insights' 10 polls in the final three weeks of 2020–2022 races missed the final margin by 2.2 points on average, ranking 5th of 69 pollsters on the ElectionsUSA scorecard. On average its polls leaned 0.7 points toward Republicans, and 70% had the eventual winner ahead.

Average error
2.2
points on the final margin; all pollsters 5.8
Adjusted error
4.37
5th of 69 on the scorecard
Partisan bias
R+0.7
average signed miss
Right call
70%
of polls had the winner ahead
Rated polls
10
final three weeks, 2020–2022
538 grade
A/B
final (2023)

Main survey method in the rated polls: Online.

By election year

YearPollsAvg errorBiasRight call
202021.5D+1.5100%
202111.1R+1.1100%
202272.6R+1.257%

By race

RacePollsAvg errorBiasRight call
Governor41.1R+1.1100%
Senate33.4R+3.433%
House22.8D+2.850%
President12.0D+2.0100%

Echelon Insights polls on ElectionsUSA (70)

CSV →
RaceDatesSampleResultMargin
Generic ballot ↗ Oct 16–23, 20263,644 LV Democrats 51% · Republicans 46%Democrats +5.0
Dem primary ↗ Oct 15–19, 2026522 LV Harris 19% · Newsom 14% · Buttigieg 13%
GOP primary ↗ Oct 15–19, 2026417 LV Vance 38% · Rubio 20% · DeSantis 12%
GOP primary ↗ Sep 17–21, 2026424 LV Vance 38% · Rubio 20% · DeSantis 8%
Dem primary ↗ Sep 17–21, 2026491 LV Harris 24% · Newsom 14% · Buttigieg 10%
Generic ballot ↗ Sep 17–21, 20261,002 LV Democrats 51% · Republicans 43%Democrats +8.0
Trump approval ↗ Sep 17–20, 20261,002 LV Approve 36% · Disapprove 64%Disapprove +28.0
Generic ballot ↗ Aug 13–17, 20261,002 LV Democrats 50% · Republicans 45%Democrats +5.0
Dem primary ↗ Aug 13–17, 2026483 LV Harris 18% · Buttigieg 13% · Newsom 12%
Dem primary ↗ Jul 9–13, 2026496 LV Harris 21% · Newsom 14% · Buttigieg 13%
Generic ballot ↗ Jul 9–13, 20261,004 LV Democrats 50% · Republicans 44%Democrats +6.0
GOP primary ↗ Jul 9–13, 20261,004 LV Vance 38% · Rubio 15% · DeSantis 9%
Generic ballot ↗ Jun 18–22, 20261,008 LV Democrats 51% · Republicans 45%Democrats +6.0
Generic ballot ↗ Jun 11–14, 20261,012 LV Democrats 50% · Republicans 44%Democrats +6.0
Dem primary ↗ Jun 11–14, 2026515 LV Harris 20% · Newsom 14% · Buttigieg 14%
GOP primary ↗ Jun 11–14, 2026418 LV Vance 42% · Rubio 15% · Jr. 7%
GOP primary ↗ Jun 5–9, 20261,121 LV Vance 38% · Rubio 19% · Jr. 13%
GOP primary ↗ May 14–18, 2026418 LV Vance 36% · Rubio 12% · DeSantis 12%
Generic ballot ↗ May 14–18, 20261,008 LV Democrats 51% · Republicans 43%Democrats +8.0
Dem primary ↗ May 14–18, 2026501 LV Harris 23% · Newsom 17% · Ocasio-Cortez 11%
GOP primary ↗ Apr 17–20, 2026409 RV Vance 42% · Rubio 14% · Jr. 10%
Generic ballot ↗ Apr 17–20, 20261,012 LV Democrats 50% · Republicans 44%Democrats +6.0
Dem primary ↗ Apr 17–20, 2026525 RV Harris 22% · Newsom 21% · Buttigieg 12%
Generic ballot ↗ Apr 3–9, 20262,880 LV Democrats 50% · Republicans 45%Democrats +5.0
Dem primary ↗ Mar 12–16, 20261,033 LV Harris 21% · Newsom 19% · Ocasio-Cortez 11%
Generic ballot ↗ Mar 12–16, 20261,033 LV Democrats 49% · Republicans 44%Democrats +5.0
Dem primary ↗ Feb 19–23, 20261,002 LV Newsom 24% · Harris 18% · Ocasio-Cortez 9%
GOP primary ↗ Feb 19–23, 2026429 LV Vance 37% · Jr. 14% · Rubio 11%
Generic ballot ↗ Feb 19–23, 20261,002 LV Democrats 50% · Republicans 46%Democrats +4.0
Generic ballot ↗ Jan 22–26, 20261,029 LV Democrats 49% · Republicans 44%Democrats +5.0
Dem primary ↗ Jan 22–26, 2026— Harris 27% · Buttigieg 21% · Newsom 9%
GOP primary ↗ Jan 22–26, 2026430 LV Vance 40% · Jr. 12% · DeSantis 7%
GOP primary ↗ Dec 11–15, 2025426 LV Vance 45% · Jr. 12% · DeSantis 9%
Dem primary ↗ Dec 11–15, 2025498 LV Newsom 23% · Harris 22% · Buttigieg 11%
Generic ballot ↗ Dec 11–15, 20251,011 LV Democrats 48% · Republicans 45%Democrats +3.0
Dem primary ↗ Nov 13–17, 2025484 LV Newsom 29% · Harris 17% · Buttigieg 12%
GOP primary ↗ Nov 13–17, 2025472 LV Vance 47% · DeSantis 10% · Rubio 8%
Generic ballot ↗ Nov 13–17, 20251,051 LV Democrats 49% · Republicans 45%Democrats +4.0
Vance vs. Newsom ↗ Oct 16–20, 20251,010 LV Vance 46% · Newsom 47%Newsom +1.0
Dem primary ↗ Oct 16–20, 2025512 LV Harris 24% · Newsom 15% · Buttigieg 10%
GOP primary ↗ Oct 16–20, 2025400 LV Vance 46% · DeSantis 10% · Rubio 6%
Generic ballot ↗ Oct 16–20, 20251,010 LV Democrats 48% · Republicans 46%Democrats +2.0
Dem primary ↗ Sep 18–22, 2025500 LV Harris 23% · Newsom 17% · Buttigieg 7%
GOP primary ↗ Sep 18–22, 2025467 LV Vance 43% · DeSantis 8% · Jr. 6%
Generic ballot ↗ Sep 18–22, 20251,071 LV Democrats 47% · Republicans 46%Democrats +1.0
GOP primary ↗ Aug 14–18, 2025441 LV Vance 43% · DeSantis 9% · Jr. 9%
Dem primary ↗ Aug 14–18, 2025552 LV Harris 26% · Newsom 13% · Buttigieg 11%
Generic ballot ↗ Aug 14–18, 20251,057 LV Democrats 47% · Republicans 46%Democrats +1.0
Generic ballot ↗ Jul 10–14, 20251,084 LV Democrats 45% · Republicans 41%Democrats +4.0
GOP primary ↗ Jul 10–14, 2025463 LV Vance 42% · DeSantis 9% · Rubio 7%
Dem primary ↗ Jul 10–14, 2025505 LV Harris 26% · Buttigieg 11% · Newsom 10%
Generic ballot ↗ Jun 12–16, 2025982 LV Democrats 47% · Republicans 48%Republicans +1.0
Dem primary ↗ May 8–12, 2025471 LV Harris 32% · Buttigieg 10% · Ocasio-Cortez 8%
Generic ballot ↗ May 8–12, 20251,000 LV Democrats 47% · Republicans 48%Republicans +1.0
GOP primary ↗ May 8–12, 2025426 LV Vance 44% · Haley 8% · DeSantis 7%
GOP primary ↗ Apr 10–14, 20251,014 LV Vance 47% · DeSantis 9% · Jr. 7%
Dem primary ↗ Apr 10–14, 20251,014 Harris 28% · Booker 11% · Buttigieg 7%
Dem primary ↗ Mar 10–13, 2025457 LV Harris 33% · Buttigieg 10% · Newsom 7%
GOP primary ↗ Mar 10–13, 2025450 LV Vance 46% · DeSantis 7% · Haley 7%
Generic ballot ↗ Mar 10–13, 20251,007 LV Democrats 46% · Republicans 47%Republicans +1.0
GOP primary ↗ Feb 10–13, 2025466 LV Vance 39% · DeSantis 10% · Haley 8%
Dem primary ↗ Feb 10–13, 2025447 LV Harris 36% · Buttigieg 10% · Newsom 6%
Generic ballot ↗ Feb 10–13, 20251,010 LV Democrats 46% · Republicans 47%Republicans +1.0
Trump approval ↗ Feb 10–13, 20251,010 LV Approve 52% · Disapprove 46%Approve +6.0
Trump approval ↗ Jan 22–24, 20251,024 LV Approve 51% · Disapprove 43%Approve +8.0
GOP primary ↗ Nov 14–18, 2024483 LV Vance 37% · Haley 9% · DeSantis 8%
Dem primary ↗ Nov 14–18, 2024457 LV Harris 41% · Newsom 8% · Shapiro 7%
GOP primary ↗ Jul 19–21, 2024456 LV Vance 25% · DeSantis 14% · Haley 9%
GOP primary ↗ Jan 16–18, 2024832 RV DeSantis 27% · Haley 19% · Vance 1%
Dem primary ↗ Jan 16–18, 2024499 RV Harris 33% · Buttigieg 13% · Newsom 11%

Every poll ElectionsUSA has recorded for the approval, generic-ballot and 2028 averages, newest first. Names after a race are the media sponsor or co-pollster; ↗ opens the source.

How these numbers work

Accuracy covers polls taken in the final three weeks of races from 2016 to 2022, from FiveThirtyEight's open archive of polls matched to certified results (CC BY 4.0). Average error is the mean absolute difference between the poll's margin and the actual margin. The adjusted error shrinks it toward the field average (k = 15 polls) so a short hot streak can't outrank a long record, and the ranking uses it. Bias is the average signed miss: D+ means the polls were more favourable to Democrats than the result, R+ more favourable to Republicans.

Polls are listed under the firm that conducted them, even when the source names a media partner first (for example "The Economist/YouGov" or "CNN/SSRS"). Full method on the scorecard and methodology pages. Something wrong? Report it through the corrections page.