Portrait of JD Vance
Photo: Emily J. Higgins (public domain). Converted to black and white and cropped.

2028 candidates · Republican

Is JD Vance running for president in 2028?

As of November 6, 2026, JD Vance has not formally declared a 2028 presidential campaign. In national polls of the Republican primary, JD Vance is 1st of 6 at 38.7% in the ElectionsUSA average.

Campaign status
Not declared
checked November 6, 2026
Republican primary
38.7%
1st in the average
Last 30 days
-1.2
points in the primary average
Market odds
17.7%
2028 Presidential Election Winner, Polymarket

Has said there is "a chance" he will not run, citing family considerations. Source

Republican primary polling

Every poll →
JD Vance in the 2028 Republican primary: polling average over time30%40%50%60%2026AprJulOctVance 38.7%
  • Vance 38.7%

General-election matchups

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Prediction markets

Polls vs. markets →
MarketPriceAs of
2028 Presidential Election Winner17.7%Nov 8, 2026
2028 Republican Nominee34.2%Nov 8, 2026

Polymarket prices are what traders pay for a contract that pays out if JD Vance wins; they are bets, not polls.

Questions

Is JD Vance running for president in 2028?

As of November 6, 2026, JD Vance has not formally declared a 2028 presidential campaign. Has said there is "a chance" he will not run, citing family considerations. This page is updated when candidates announce.

How is JD Vance polling in the 2028 Republican primary?

In national polls of the Republican primary, JD Vance is 1st of 6 at 38.7% in the ElectionsUSA average, down 1.2 points from a month earlier. The average weights 62 national polls by recency, sample size and pollster record.

How does JD Vance do against Gavin Newsom in 2028 polls?

In the ElectionsUSA average of national head-to-head polls, Newsom leads by 3.4 points.

How does JD Vance do against Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez in 2028 polls?

In the ElectionsUSA average of national head-to-head polls, Vance leads by 1.5 points.

How does JD Vance do against Pete Buttigieg in 2028 polls?

In the ElectionsUSA average of national head-to-head polls, Buttigieg leads by 2.8 points.

What are JD Vance's odds in the 2028 presidential election winner market?

Polymarket traders priced JD Vance at 17.7% on November 8, 2026. Market prices are bets, not polls.

What are JD Vance's odds in the 2028 republican nominee market?

Polymarket traders priced JD Vance at 34.2% on November 8, 2026. Market prices are bets, not polls.

A candidate is listed as declared only after a formal announcement or a filed exploratory committee, with a link to it. Poll figures come from the ElectionsUSA average; see every 2028 candidate.

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